Online
Gambling &
Online roulette
Systems
Jafco
Roulette
Copyright 2011 Jafco. All rights reserved.
Playing Online
Casinos
Gambling on the internet
has been available for quite a while now and comes in a numerous forms. There
is also a wide variety in law governing online casinos, their permits and
levels of responsibility. These variations relate to the operators location
and/or the local jurisdiction of the players. It’s always a good idea to check
your own region and then search for information about reliable online casino
operators. I guess that the requirement of a genuine gaming license is always a
good starting point in terms of your own security. It’s not just about finding
a straight game but also about being certain that you will get paid when you
win big.
The focus here will be
on some of the best known online gambling games and in particular those that
are related to pseudo“random” number generators.
This is a very different
proposition to playing the live games but none more so than for roulette.
Online (RNG)roulette has few similarities with land based casino roulette and
from a playing system point of view no similarity at all, other than each game
comprises elements that can be unravelled and taken advantage of. I have done
this with the live version of the game with my Visual Roulette System and for
completely different reasons that I shall explain, I think that the online
roulette version is also just as vulnerable.
These notes will be about
suggestions for different approaches to playing, some of which have been tried
and tested and some are more about pontificating and hope !
Online
Roulette System Theory
Most online roulette
numbers are generated by a pseudorandom number generator, a computational
algorithm that when applied to a secret seed number will produce a sequence of
imitation random numbers.
The key to pseudo number
generation for the system enthusiast is that from start to finish the sequence
of numbers is pre  determined. The numbers are the result of nothing more than
a mathematical calculation that is continuously repeating itself. With Online
roulette, If you have the random seed number then you have everything! but as
this is highly unlikely we should keep our focus on the fact that the numbers
draw can’t be described as truly random and the fact that it is always possible
to input theoretical or assumed random seed numbers.
The only real problem
lies in the enormity of possibilities that these generators can produce. It’s a
bit like trying to find a particular spot in the universe that has been
described to you. It may be easy to identify but how long would it take to look
through all the possibilities first. This will almost certainly be feasible for
a quantum computer but until that time, who will come up with the right way to
solve the problem? I continue to look at it all with great interest. Anyone
interested in jointly creating a program for number sequence search combined
with a suitable computer network, , should get in touch !
There are plenty of
curious areas that are of interest.
First there is the
process for selecting the seed number as this needs to be random too. Once a
seed number is selected, again in pseudo random way, the algorithm can then be
applied to it. I once read about a random generator that created a new seed
number each second and in ascending order., this certainly didn’t sound random
to me, and for that matter nor does relating the random seed to the computer
clock.
Next come the pseudo
random numbers themselves and this is where things get big, in terms of
probability. When we look at the well known pseudorandom generator appropriately
named the Mersenne Twister, we see a potential number cycle size of 2 to the
power of 19937 .Now, according to my understanding that would mean that the
probability is so big that one possibility within the whole potential cycle
could be 19937 blacks coming in a row !! As to whether this is physically
possible or not is a whole other subject for debate but it does demonstrate the
truly awesome size of the Mersenne Twister algorithm and probability range.
Just on that long sequence, it should be noted it may look utterly ridiculous
but when you throw in enough opportunities for things to happen then they
usually do and furthermore we are also talking about numbers that are almost
beyond our imagination and probably even dwarf the big numbers of the universe.
The world record for even chances in casino roulette history is probably
something like 35 – 45 blacks or reds in a row, though that is just an educated
guess. Now, when we look at it closely and try to estimate the number of
roulette spins that had occurred to achieve that world record it might amount
to something like a billion spins, though I think that’s probably on the large
size. The point is that, in terms of probability, this billion spins over the
years in casinos to achieve the 45 in a row is still such a small number sample
compared to the big probability numbers of the Mersenne Twister. Its hardly
surprising how hard it is to believe in the 20000 in a row but the probability
suggests that given the right number of chances there is every reason that it
would really happen.
The reason why this is
all relevant is that the picture could perhaps be viewed slightly differently,
making the cycle suddenly look a lot smaller.
If the cycle provides
for 20000 even chances in row and all other possibilities, then it probably
also provides for something like 500 of the same number in a row too. These are
only approximate estimates, though it can definitely be said that the two
chances would exactly balance with each other. With the straight up numbers it
is a case of 37 x37 x37 x37 and I am suggesting that after performing this
calculation about 500 times it would reach the same probability value of the
full cycle period which is 2x2x2x2 just under 20000 times. I would greatly
appreciate it if someone feels like calculating the exact equivalent in
straight ups and letting me know.
500 hundred straight ups
in a row may again seem ridiculous but these 500 numbers could be and will be
any numbers. To the pseudo number generator, producing one sequence of the same
numbers in a row will be exactly the same as selecting any other sequence of
numbers in a row . The key point I want to make here is that if we look at it
in terms of the actual number sequence rather than the even chance sequence
then the cycle does appear far smaller and the big question is what exactly
happens next, once it has selected 500 specific numbers in a row and reached
the full extent of its range? It has been said that the cycle would repeat itself
but this can’t be correct as it would need to do this after every 500 or so
numbers. Furthermore, the idea that the cycle can now appear a lot smaller is
relevant in that it greatly improves the prospect of locating where one might
be, in any given cycle.
Anyone looking at
pattern matching needs to familiarize themselves with the enormity of the cycle
as only this way will players see that any 5 number sequence can arise in
millions and millions of different cycles and the sequence is way too small to
mean anything in tracking terms.. Even if you knew the seed value the sequence
would still be too small locate because I imagine that the same 5 number
sequence could occur at many different places within the same seed cycle.
The work in this area
continues and I am currently investigating what really does happen when the
algorithm reaches its outer limits and the one thing I hold on to is the fact
when one eventually breaks through, then not only will one realize it but one
will also know the next number and the next number and the next one after that
too !! Its all Predetermined which is why it is referred to as “pseudo
random” and potentially predictable.
Time may also play an
important part in the ‘random’ generation of roulette numbers. It is clear that
a number can be produced on request and at any given moment but just how
relevant is that particular moment in time. There is no number until the
calculation is performed and the ‘when’ part could also be significant to the
system player.
jafcoroulette.com
Online
Poker System
When online poker really
started to get going all the talk was about a new generation of Online Poker
Millionaires. We don’t hear the same stories with quite such frequency these
days and that’s partly because nearly everything new starts out flawed and is
then slowly resolved with rule changes and other countermeasures.
If you are an online
poker player, I wonder if you have ever thought the cards seem to be just very
slightly more against you than with you, in the long term?
I have heard this quite
often but then again, it is something that one hears from gamblers all the time
anyway. However, I am in fact only suggesting that it would be a feeling rather
than an actual occurrence, and furthermore, that the player is only feeling it
because of the noticeable extra number of hands where other players seem to
just edge it more often. This may sound a little mysterious and that’s because
in some ways it is. To cut to the chase, has it ever occurred to you that
others at the table may have an idea as to the strength of your cards?
Imagine you unwittingly
join a poker game online playing against others all around the world. How do
you know that three of the other players are not all on telephone together
discussing what cards they each have and what for sure, you don’t have !!
In a tournament
situation, players operating together can also lose to each other deliberately
in order to keep themselves both in the game and gain the control that comes
with it. This was shown on the TV show called The Real Hustle, though it was in
a live situation as opposed to online.
With all this in mind, I
was always interested in reading the rules that govern online poker playing.
The first thing that
struck me as intriguing was the way these companies have had to take an
acceptance policy when it comes to using computers that are able to provide the
player with best information based on the known cards etc. Had the online
casinos not done this they would have been subjected to continual complaints
from players accusing others of using impossible to detect computers. So that’s
two things to note, and so if you are playing poker online, there is a high
chance that you will be playing against either computer players or a small group
of players who ‘know each other’ , or even the very destructive affects of
both~ if you know what I mean.
Online
Black Jack System
This method can in fact
be applied to a variety of games as it is more about the conditions in place.
This is a tried and tested method that is not well known.
There has been much
debate over the years as to exactly how the payout mechanisms really work. Why
does a mechanical jackpot happen at a certain moment, what causes it and most
significantly will that machine then be programmed to recover to the normal
margin by reducing the payouts to players for a long while after?
Most players prefer true
randomness in the cards because this way they know nothing is rigged and there
is no technical limit to what can be won. This is more the style of the modern
game as there would be nothing worse than winning big on black jack only to
find that the program will then reduce the quality of your cards to get back to
the fixed and more normal losing edge.
There are however still
mechanisms that do use self correcting programs, although they may be a lot
more sophisticated than they used to be. The downside is that if you win big
you will have that feeling of it being followed be an inevitable loss, so we
wouldn’t want to do that, but the upside, and it’s quite a significant upside,
is that these type of self correcting programs can be manipulated and even
tricked by the players.
If we are searching for
a self correcting program then there are two areas that may be affected and its
best to devise a strategy that assumes both factors may be in play. The first
is the self correction of the number fluctuation variances, where numbers that
disappear for very long periods are programmed to return, albeit in a subtle
way and agaian, over a long period. The second and most significant part of the
system is the self correction of the payout where if an online casino or
individual game has a big loss it is programmed to retrieve the loss or the other way around, where it will be programmed
to payout more after the machine has been winning more than the normal house
edge. This may also work on a more local basis where it is only those
that have been winning that are affected by the claw back.
The essential
ingredients and conditions for play involve;
1. A game where the
payout mechanism is self correcting. This can be tested very quickly on your
first attempt.
2. A situation where
the range between the smallest available bets and the largest is quite wide.
Betting between £1 and £5 is not that great but a range between £1 and £100
could be amazing.
The fundamental
objective from there is to design a strategy where we spend most of the time
betting the minimum stake and forcing losses, like twisting on 19 or in
roulette by betting on all the numbers. The machine will start recognising how
badly the player is performing, losing so many of his £1 bets in a row , and
may well start ‘developing a wish’ to hand some back in order to rebalance things
to a more reasonable edge. The player needs to then pick his moment and launch
in and in a very big way, even £100 if the method has already been tested. The
intention is to bet fast and furious but only for a very short while as the
machine will soon self correct again. There is no better way of self correcting
than to hand out some better cards and this is what you will be hoping for
during this short betting blast. It is important to be patient and make sure
the machine has been collecting your small stakes for as long as you need and
until you feel the machine must be ready to give you a few winners, only this
time they will be the very big bets!!!
Selecting the right
moment for Black
Jack
Selecting the best
moment to start will vary from game to game but can be tested by running a few
trials. With black jack it is very easy to orchestrate a deliberate losing bet,
I mean where else would you twist on a pair of kings !
As to how much needs be
lost at the machine before it can react positively is another anomaly that
requires trial tests. I usually played for about 1015 minutes of losing black
Jack and all just for1 minute of power play. I also chose my moment when I had
just had 4 or 5 hands with very bad start cards.
Selecting the right
moment for
Roulette
With the roulette
version of this game we can really play on the part that involves the self
correction of numbers, though it is still not as important a factor as the
forcing of losers.
So we set up a losing
bet but also a very small bet. We can play this for quite a while, collecting
data for the winning number order and slowly losing losing losing.
Once we have completed a
sizable number of spins we can then launch in big and betting on all the
quietest numbers too. One can just imagine the self correcting potential to
player who has not only been losing for ages but also the potential for this
group of quiet numbers to self correct into becoming red hot numbers and all at
the same time, whilst also betting at the top level.
I used to play this
method on the Spanish rouleta machines that has a flashing wheel with just 12
numbers on it. It worked, though not perfectly because the betting range
between the minimum and maximums was not very wide, it basically could go up by
four times the minimum level. Whereas, in Amsterdam the same
machines (slightly more modern version) had a much wider bet range from 1 euro
up to 100 euros.
Online Slots
System
I have never been a
slots player but I have often wondered how I would approach the game if I was
to play. I guess this idea is applicable to both online slots and live casino slots
and other games too that have jackpots that fluctuate in size.
The key to this method
is so simple as to be unbelievable. The slots system involves ensuring that all
bets that are placed are done so in a winning margin and with the medium/ long
term objective of nailing a jackpot ; not only that but when it happens it will
be an especially big jackpot!
If the $1 slot machine
has a real jackpot probability of 2 million to 1 and the jackpot level has
built up over months to $4 million then every single dollar placed on this game
is in a strong winning margin. Obviously to make this effective the player
needs to know the probabilities of each machine jackpot they play and have a
large bankroll or be part of a team of jackpot seekers.
The secret to the
success of the method is to always be on the move and ensuring that as much
play as possible is done when the edge is at its greatest.
The style of the system
can work in so many other areas of gambling where there is a growing pot and
where you don’t play until it is big enough to enable continuous bets within an
overall winning edge. If this is done on a big scale then those jackpots will
be found, as it is just a numbers game and governed by the normal laws of
probability but with above average jackpots, rollovers etc etc where you win
money that others couldn’t when the playing the same game earlier and when the
jackpot was disproportionately low.
Keywords relating to this roulette article; Online Black
jack, poker, slots and roulette.
Copyright
2011 Jafco. All rights reserved.
Jafcoroulette.com
